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Matchup Reports

Friday at 7:10 PM
ARIZONA (64-52) AT CINCINNATI (50-65) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
955: ARIZONA
956: CINCINNATI
9.5
+118
64-52
50-65
54-57-5
60-51-4
4.5 / 3.9
4.6 / 5.1
(R) C BUCHHOLZ
(R) A DESCLAFANI
5-1
5-3
2.21
4.98
1.11
1.31
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 54.0 °
Humidity: 47   Wind: South at 3.5 MPH (3 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
ARIZONABUCHHOLZ-163 
CINCINNATIDESCLAFANI +163 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ARIZONA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games64-52+5.3227-217-0.21678-1718-164.454-57220-2051614-1633
when the total is 9 to 9.510-5+5.269-66-3.9563-555-366-767-57538-513
on the road when the money line is +125 to -12518-15+2.951-54-2368-395-17.721-1250-53352-381
as a road favorite of -125 to -1755-2+2.424-17+0.2141-97+4.71-514-24106-118
in road games32-23+11.8109-110+11.6780-914-60.728-25100-112765-854
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.53-3+0.517-24-7.8186-221-132-315-23169-216
in August games4-3-133-31-0.3287-284-30.23-438-23271-273
when playing on Friday12-6+6.435-36-5.3263-275-41.110-840-28256-252
when playing with a day off10-3+7.125-23+1.4179-189-28.510-334-12178-173
in night games47-31+12162-145+5.21206-1187-76.640-34156-1371136-1152
against right-handed starters41-33+4.8156-157-7.41188-1232-125.335-37154-1461143-1171
after shutting out their opponent1-5-610-14-5.890-97-19.72-413-1184-97
after a win34-29+1.4119-106+8.8849-815-56.931-31112-104787-802
when playing against a team with a losing record35-19+12.6130-90+22.7867-732-15.328-22116-93772-750
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season6-3+0.648-41-4436-370-35.66-348-38370-395

CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games50-65-5.2186-252-25.61684-1842-106.260-51230-1891676-1667
when the total is 9 to 9.529-36-3.293-110-3.2649-682-31.833-3098-94615-621
at home when the money line is +125 to -12519-22-2.964-63+1.9438-449-21.824-1564-60440-403
in home games26-31-5.2103-116-8.8882-880-111.431-24117-93870-798
at home when the total is 9 to 9.519-24-5.666-64+3.7382-375-45.322-2062-60356-344
in August games2-6-330-35+3290-313-74-439-25304-267
when playing on Friday8-10-0.230-40-4.4270-287-10.78-931-35255-268
when playing with a day off8-6+424-23+6.6181-208-21.64-1022-23180-189
in night games28-40-7.2112-165-30.31081-1200-90.632-33141-1221083-1086
against right-handed starters35-50-9.3148-188-11.21234-1338-60.743-39178-1441228-1206
after getting shut out0-5-5.46-17-9.587-101-8.33-210-1283-91
after a loss27-38-5.6103-148-17.1877-947-16.238-24137-103893-845
when playing against a team with a winning record32-36+3.595-144-16.8745-950-55.138-27133-95801-804
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season13-9+848-63+6.6347-479-40.115-761-48387-391
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
ARIZONA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
7/27/2018GREINKE(R)@ SAN DIEGOPERDOMO(R)6-2W-1807.5 unO1160831
7/28/2018CORBIN(L)@ SAN DIEGOROSS(R)9-4W-1557.5 ovO15110751
7/29/2018BUCHHOLZ(R)@ SAN DIEGOLUCCHESI(L)5-4W-1208 ovO960870
7/30/2018RAY(L)TEXASPEREZ(L)5-9L-2008.5 ovO9801291
7/31/2018GODLEY(R)TEXASCOLON(R)6-0W-1659 unU970450
8/2/2018GREINKE(R)SAN FRANCISCOBUMGARNER(L)1-8L-1657.5 unO101221171
8/3/2018CORBIN(L)SAN FRANCISCOSTRATTON(R)6-3W-2108 unO1290960
8/4/2018BUCHHOLZ(R)SAN FRANCISCOSUAREZ(L)9-3W-1408.5 evO12301190
8/5/2018RAY(L)SAN FRANCISCOHOLLAND(L)2-3L-1708.5 ovU460850
8/6/2018GODLEY(R)PHILADELPHIAARRIETA(R)3-2W-1308.5 unU12140790
8/7/2018GREINKE(R)PHILADELPHIAPIVETTA(R)2-5L-1607.5 unU952681
8/8/2018CORBIN(L)PHILADELPHIAVELASQUEZ(R)6-0W-1807.5 ovU1390431
8/10/2018BUCHHOLZ(R)@ CINCINNATIDESCLAFANI(R) 
8/11/2018RAY(L)@ CINCINNATIHARVEY(R) 
8/12/2018GODLEY(R)@ CINCINNATICASTILLO(R) 
8/13/2018GREINKE(R)@ TEXASGALLARDO(R) 
8/14/2018CORBIN(L)@ TEXASJURADO(R) 
8/16/2018 @ SAN DIEGO  
8/17/2018 @ SAN DIEGO  

CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
7/27/2018DESCLAFANI(R)PHILADELPHIAPIVETTA(R)6-4W+1109 unO781770
7/28/2018HARVEY(R)PHILADELPHIAVELASQUEZ(R)6-2W+1109 ovU11110430
7/29/2018CASTILLO(R)PHILADELPHIAEFLIN(R)4-0W-1159 evU1080881
7/31/2018BAILEY(R)@ DETROITBOYD(L)1-2L1009 unU540320
8/1/2018ROMANO(R)@ DETROITFIERS(R)4-7L-1059 unO11621470
8/2/2018MAHLE(R)@ WASHINGTONSCHERZER(R)4-10L2358 ovO7701070
8/4/2018DESCLAFANI(R)@ WASHINGTONGONZALEZ(L)7-1W1809.5 ovU13100780
8/4/2018HARVEY(R)@ WASHINGTONHELLICKSON(R)2-6L1609.5 evU6601090
8/5/2018CASTILLO(R)@ WASHINGTONROARK(R)1-2L1559 unU750880
8/6/2018BAILEY(R)@ NY METSSYNDERGAARD(R)4-6L1557.5 ovO7701690
8/7/2018ROMANO(R)@ NY METSVARGAS(L)6-1W1258.5 unU1050470
8/8/2018STEPHENSON(R)@ NY METSDEGROM(R)0-8L1907 unO7618121
8/10/2018DESCLAFANI(R)ARIZONABUCHHOLZ(R) 
8/11/2018HARVEY(R)ARIZONARAY(L) 
8/12/2018CASTILLO(R)ARIZONAGODLEY(R) 
8/13/2018BAILEY(R)CLEVELANDCLEVINGER(R) 
8/14/2018ROMANO(R)CLEVELANDKLUBER(R) 
8/15/2018 CLEVELAND  
8/17/2018 SAN FRANCISCO  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ARIZONA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games64-52+5.354-574.50.2390.3130.3910.7043.90.2360.3000.3770.677
Road Games32-23+11.828-254.40.2320.3040.3920.6963.80.2390.3030.3750.678
vs Right-handed Starters41-33+4.735-374.70.2400.3180.3840.7013.90.2390.2950.3790.674
Past 7 Games4-3-13-44.10.2880.3530.4280.7813.40.2260.2890.3310.620
Grass Games64-52+5.354-574.50.2390.3130.3910.7043.90.2360.3000.3770.677
Night Games47-31+12.140-344.80.2470.3210.4030.7254.10.2370.3010.3810.682
ARIZONA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.50.2390.3131163921938177381140.391495421103855790884711039
Road Games4.40.2320.3045518734349811600.3922351945022035938244916
Righty Starters4.70.2400.31874248259611422660.3843232826683250161307122
ARIZONA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.101.193391.41481353234414434218-22301566.7%
Road Games3.181.1881816964153236217110-816672.7%

CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games50-65-5.260-514.60.2570.3290.3960.7255.10.2660.3330.4360.769
Home Games26-31-5.231-244.70.2500.3320.4000.7335.20.2610.3290.4410.770
vs Right-handed Starters35-50-9.343-394.60.2580.3320.3900.7225.20.2640.3340.4420.775
Past 7 Games2-5-23-43.40.2380.2810.3560.6364.90.2800.3650.4130.778
Grass Games50-65-5.260-514.60.2570.3290.3960.7255.10.2660.3330.4360.769
Night Games28-40-7.232-334.70.2560.3270.3960.7235.40.2660.3350.4290.764
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.60.2570.32911539581016171141170.396508427956478671077010248
Home Games4.70.2500.332571923480885640.4002622385051842845344928
Righty Starters4.60.2580.33285293275613010790.3903763247163666577536638
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.111.3964342181984225018437919-17291172.5%
Home Games4.111.425225.3116103225299620010-1014766.7%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
CLAY BUCHHOLZ recent results and season statistics
CLAY BUCHHOLZ - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.211.1055-110575.7181449714516-4+2.35-5
Road Starts2.100.9323-1634.35.7882547293-3+0.62-4
Last 3 Starts2.941.4183-0318.36.1661937203-0+3.52-1
CLAY BUCHHOLZ - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/4/2018SAN FRANCISCO9-3-1408.5Win,OverW6227228SUAREZ(L)
7/29/2018at SAN DIEGO5-4-1208Win,OverW5.7336037LUCCHESI(L)
7/24/2018at CHICAGO CUBS5-1+1509Win,UnderW6.7116125HENDRICKS(R)

ANTHONY DESCLAFANI recent results and season statistics
ANTHONY DESCLAFANI - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.981.3085-31159.75.43433601518506-5+1.68-3
Home Starts5.651.4732-2736.75.22423411013383-4-2.25-2
Last 3 Starts4.021.4051-1315.75.2771735152-1+1.71-2
ANTHONY DESCLAFANI - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/4/2018at WASHINGTON7-1+1809.5Win,UnderW7116012GONZALEZ(L)
7/27/2018PHILADELPHIA6-4+1109Win,Over 4.3335127PIVETTA(R)
7/21/2018PITTSBURGH2-6-1209Loss,UnderL4.3336226KINGHAM(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 7-8 (+0.5 Units) against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-1.1 Units)
Games this season
ARIZONA is 2-1 (+0.1 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

All games at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 3-3 (+0.3 Units) against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)
Games played at CINCINNATI this season.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Pitcher Versus Team Past History
CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 0-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)
CLAY BUCHHOLZ recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/6/2017at CINCINNATI4-7+1159Loss,Over 5447023DAVIS(R)

ANTHONY DESCLAFANI vs. ARIZONA since 1997
DESCLAFANI is 1-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.300.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.1 units)
ANTHONY DESCLAFANI recent starts vs. ARIZONA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/27/2016at ARIZONA13-0-1109.5Win,OverW9004019GODLEY(R)
8/22/2015ARIZONA7-11-1208Loss,OverL56610204DELGADO(R)
8/9/2015at ARIZONA3-4+1407.5Loss,Under 63310013CORBIN(L)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ARIZONA in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARIZONA games 51.3% of the time since 1997. (1408-1339, -68.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARIZONA games 48.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (184-194, -32.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 50.1% of the time since 1997. (1476-1469, -137.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 46.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (183-207, -47.8 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ARIZONA games 52.1% of the time since 1997. (1194-1098, -56.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ARIZONA games 54.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (214-177, +16.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 51.5% of the time since 1997. (1227-1154, -89.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 49.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (186-192, -30.4 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ARIZONA
[3B] 07/27/2018 - Jake Lamb 10-day DL (07/27); is out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 07/12/2018 - Shelby Miller 60-day DL (07/12) ( Elbow )
[RF] 07/08/2018 - Jarrod Dyson 10-day DL (07/05) ( Groin )
[P] 06/01/2018 - Taijuan Walker is out for season ( Forearm )
[P] 05/09/2018 - Braden Shipley 10-day DL (05/07) ( Elbow )
CINCINNATI
[1B] 08/08/2018 - Joey Votto is "?" Friday vs Arizona Diamondbacks ( Knee )
[LF] 07/26/2018 - Jesse Winker 60-day DL (07/26) ( Shoulder )
[C] 07/25/2018 - Tyler Stephenson 10-day DL (07/23) ( Knee )
[2B] 07/21/2018 - Alex Blandino 60-day DL (07/21) ( Knee )
[LF] 07/19/2018 - Scott Schebler 10-day DL (07/15) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Rookie Davis 60-day DL (03/02) ( Hip )
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